{"@context":["https://w3id.org/fdo/context/v1",{"schema":"https://schema.org/","prov":"http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#","fdo":"https://w3id.org/fdo/vocabulary/"}],"@id":"https://fdo.portal.mardi4nfdi.de/fdo/Q901463","@type":"DigitalObject","kernel":{"@id":"https://fdo.portal.mardi4nfdi.de/fdo/Q901463","digitalObjectType":"https://schema.org/ScholarlyArticle","primaryIdentifier":"mardi:Q901463","kernelVersion":"v1","immutable":true,"modified":"2026-03-18T17:04:17Z"},"profile":{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"ScholarlyArticle","@id":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q901463","name":"The San Francisco MSM epidemic: a retrospective analysis","headline":"The San Francisco MSM epidemic: a retrospective analysis","description":"scientific article; zbMATH DE number 6528863","url":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q901463","datePublished":"2016-01-12","author":[{"@id":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q901462"},{"@id":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q425864"}],"publisher":[{"@id":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q61563"}],"identifier":{"@type":"PropertyValue","propertyID":"doi","value":"10.3390/MATH3041083","url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH3041083"},"sameAs":["https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH3041083"],"comment":"Summary: We investigate various scenarios for ending the San Francisco MSM (men having sex with men) HIV/AIDS epidemic (1978--1984). We use our previously developed model and explore changes due to prevention strategies such as testing, treatment and reduction of the number of contacts. Here we consider a ``what-if'' scenario, by comparing different treatment strategies, to determine which factor has the greatest impact on reducing the HIV/AIDS epidemic. The factor determining the future of the epidemic is the reproduction number \\(R_0\\); if \\(R_0<1\\), the epidemic is stopped. We show that treatment significantly reduces the total number of infected people. We also investigate the effect a reduction in the number of contacts after seven years, when the HIV/AIDS threat became known, would have had in the population. Both reduction of contacts and treatment alone, however, would not have been enough to bring \\(R_0\\) below one; but when combined, we show that the effective \\(R_0\\) becomes less than one, and therefore the epidemic would have been eradicated.","citation":[{"@id":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q465350"},{"@id":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q2497158"},{"@id":"https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/entity/Q4023464"}]},"provenance":{"prov:generatedAtTime":"2026-03-18T17:04:17Z","prov:wasAttributedTo":"MaRDI Knowledge Graph"}}